Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

TB de Bruyn, Men's Test

Pace: average of 16.5, 3.9 below their average of 20.3 on all balls faced (-19%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 20% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 534 balls faced.
Sample: 534 balls · high confidence
Right-arm fast-medium: average of 14.6, 5.7 below their average of 20.3 on all balls faced (-28%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 23% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 253 balls faced.
Sample: 253 balls · medium confidence
At home: average of 18.9, 1.5 below their average of 20.3 on all balls faced (-7%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 26% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 348 balls faced.
Sample: 348 balls · medium confidence
New ball (1-20): strike rate of 41.7, 4.5 below their strike rate of 46.2 on all balls faced (-10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 30% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 362 balls faced.
Sample: 362 balls · medium confidence

Spin: average of 27.6, 7.3 above their average of 20.3 on all balls faced (+36%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 23% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 478 balls faced.
Sample: 478 balls · high confidence
Sri Lanka: average of 52.0, 31.7 above their average of 20.3 on all balls faced (+156%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 4% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 240 balls faced.
Sample: 240 balls · medium confidence
Sri Lanka: average of 52.0, 31.7 above their average of 20.3 on all balls faced (+156%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 4% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 240 balls faced.
Sample: 240 balls · medium confidence
Old ball (21-80): average of 23.5, 3.1 above their average of 20.3 on all balls faced (+15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 24% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 636 balls faced.
Sample: 636 balls · high confidence

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Off break	276	128	5	25.60	46.38	74.6%	5.8%
Right-arm fast-medium	253	117	8	14.63	46.25	79.4%	7.5%
Slow left-arm orthodox	153	59	2	29.50	38.56	82.4%	5.9%
Right-arm fast	106	48	2	24.00	45.28	79.2%	7.5%
Left-arm fast	102	59	2	29.50	57.84	74.5%	8.8%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Old ball (21-80)	636	305	13	23.46	47.96	76.1%	7.1%
New ball (1-20)	362	151	9	16.78