Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

TL Best, Men's Test

Spin: average of 11.2, 4.2 below their average of 15.5 on all balls faced (-27%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 12% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 164 balls faced.
Sample: 164 balls · low confidence

Away from home: average of 17.0, 1.5 above their average of 15.5 on all balls faced (+10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 23% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 263 balls faced.
Sample: 263 balls · medium confidence
Pace: average of 20.3, 4.8 above their average of 15.5 on all balls faced (+31%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 7% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 195 balls faced.
Sample: 195 balls · low confidence
Second new ball (81+): average of 30.2, 14.7 above their average of 15.5 on all balls faced (+95%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 9% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 212 balls faced.
Sample: 212 balls · low confidence

At home: average of 54.0, 16.2 above their average of 37.8 on all balls bowled (+43%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 10% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 732 balls bowled.
Sample: 732 balls · high confidence
West Indies: average of 54.0, 16.2 above their average of 37.8 on all balls bowled (+43%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 13% of comparable players (their median change: -10%) — 732 balls bowled.
Sample: 732 balls · high confidence
Second new ball (81+): economy of 4.90, 1.20 above their economy of 3.70 on all balls bowled (+32%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 474 balls bowled.
Sample: 474 balls · medium confidence
Left-handed batters: economy of 4.00, 0.30 above their economy of 3.70 on all balls bowled (+8%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 27% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 650 balls bowled.
Sample: 650 balls · medium confidence

Old ball (21-80): economy of 3.15, 0.55 below their economy of 3.70 on all balls bowled (-15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 966 balls bowled.
Sample: 966 balls · high confidence
Away from home: average of 30.9, 6.9 below their average of 37.8 on all balls bowled (-18%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 11% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 1132 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,132 balls · high confidence
Bangladesh: average of 26.0, 11.8 below their average of 37.8 on all balls bowled (-31%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 26% of comparable players (their median change: -12%) — 681 balls bowled.
Sample: 681 balls · medium confidence
Bangladesh: average of 14.3, 23.5 below their average of 37.8 on all balls bowled (-62%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 345 balls bowled.
Sample: 345 balls · low confidence

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	126	94	3	31.33	74.60	65.9%	12.7%
Off break	69	38	2	19.00	55.07	71.0%	7.2%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Second new ball (81+)	212	151	5	30.20	71.23	66.0%	10.8%
Old ball (21-80)	130	72	9	8.00	55.38	76.2%	9.2%

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	1,558	929	24	38.71	3.58	64.9	69.3%	7.4%
Left-handed batters	650	433	12	36.08	4.00	54.2	71.4%	9.4%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Old ball (21-80)	966	507	15	33.80	3.15	64.4	71.8%	6.4%
New ball (1-20)	768	468	13	36.00	3.66	59.1	72.8%	7.9%
Second new ball (81+)	474	387	8	48.38	4.90	59.3	61.2%	11.4%