Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

V Permaul, Men's Test

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Bowling to them: where to attack

Second new ball (81+): strike rate of 43.4, 6.6 below their strike rate of 50.0 on all balls faced (-13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 10% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 182 balls faced.
Sample: 182 balls · low confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

At home: average of 24.0, 10.8 above their average of 13.2 on all balls faced (+82%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 6% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 170 balls faced.
Sample: 170 balls · low confidence
West Indies: average of 24.0, 10.8 above their average of 13.2 on all balls faced (+82%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 13% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 170 balls faced.
Sample: 170 balls · low confidence
Second new ball (81+): average of 19.8, 6.6 above their average of 13.2 on all balls faced (+50%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 22% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 182 balls faced.
Sample: 182 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they leak

Old ball (21-80): economy of 3.59, 0.23 above their economy of 3.36 on all balls bowled (+7%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 4% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 1338 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,338 balls · high confidence
At home: average of 53.6, 15.5 above their average of 38.2 on all balls bowled (+41%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 10% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 946 balls bowled.
Sample: 946 balls · high confidence
Right-handed batters: average of 45.4, 7.3 above their average of 38.2 on all balls bowled (+19%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 11% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 1586 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,586 balls · high confidence
West Indies: average of 53.6, 15.5 above their average of 38.2 on all balls bowled (+41%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 12% of comparable players (their median change: -10%) — 946 balls bowled.
Sample: 946 balls · high confidence
Left-handed batters: economy of 3.64, 0.28 above their economy of 3.36 on all balls bowled (+8%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 28% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 528 balls bowled.
Sample: 528 balls · medium confidence
Australia: average of 103.5, 65.3 above their average of 38.2 on all balls bowled (+171%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 7% of comparable players (their median change: +12%) — 335 balls bowled.
Sample: 335 balls · low confidence
New Zealand: average of 66.0, 27.8 above their average of 38.2 on all balls bowled (+73%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 19% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 252 balls bowled.
Sample: 252 balls · low confidence
New Zealand: average of 66.0, 27.8 above their average of 38.2 on all balls bowled (+73%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 22% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 252 balls bowled.
Sample: 252 balls · low confidence
New ball (1-20): strike rate of 100.0, 31.8 above their strike rate of 68.2 on all balls bowled (+47%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 24% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 300 balls bowled.
Sample: 300 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they are strongest

Away from home: average of 29.6, 8.5 below their average of 38.2 on all balls bowled (-22%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 6% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 1168 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,168 balls · high confidence
Left-handed batters: average of 26.7, 11.5 below their average of 38.2 on all balls bowled (-30%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 8% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 528 balls bowled.
Sample: 528 balls · medium confidence
New ball (1-20): economy of 2.44, 0.92 below their economy of 3.36 on all balls bowled (-27%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 2% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 300 balls bowled.
Sample: 300 balls · low confidence
Sri Lanka: average of 17.6, 20.5 below their average of 38.2 on all balls bowled (-54%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 318 balls bowled.
Sample: 318 balls · low confidence
Sri Lanka: average of 17.6, 20.5 below their average of 38.2 on all balls bowled (-54%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: -0%) — 318 balls bowled.
Sample: 318 balls · low confidence

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	95	45	5	9.00	47.37	77.9%	6.3%
Slow left-arm orthodox	86	43	2	21.50	50.00	77.9%	7.0%
Off break	67	28	3	9.33	41.79	80.6%	6.0%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Second new ball (81+)	182	79	4	19.75	43.41	78.0%	4.9%
Old ball (21-80)	108	66	7	9.43	61.11	74.1%	10.2%

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	1,586	863	19	45.42	3.26	83.5	70.9%	6.3%
Left-handed batters	528	320	12	26.67	3.64	44.0	68.0%	7.4%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Old ball (21-80)	1,338	800	19	42.11	3.59	70.4	69.4%	7.6%
Second new ball (81+)	476	261	9	29.00	3.29	52.9	69.1%	5.7%
New ball (1-20)	300	122	3	40.67	2.44	100.0	75.0%	3.3%