Plans built only from the evidence.

Old ball (21-80): strike rate of 42.7, 6.9 below their strike rate of 49.6 on all balls faced (-14%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 9% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 365 balls faced.

Sample: 365 balls · medium confidence

Pakistan: average of 18.5, 4.2 below their average of 22.7 on all balls faced (-19%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 29% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 259 balls faced.

Sample: 259 balls · medium confidence

West Indies: average of 16.0, 6.7 below their average of 22.7 on all balls faced (-30%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 26% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 158 balls faced.

Sample: 158 balls · low confidence

New ball (1-20): strike rate of 53.1, 3.4 above their strike rate of 49.6 on all balls faced (+7%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 14% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 733 balls faced.

Sample: 733 balls · high confidence

Right-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 55.2, 5.6 above their strike rate of 49.6 on all balls faced (+11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 17% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 404 balls faced.

Sample: 404 balls · medium confidence

Right-arm fast-medium: average of 27.9, 5.2 above their average of 22.7 on all balls faced (+23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 20% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 404 balls faced.

Sample: 404 balls · medium confidence

New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 52, 6 above their balls per dismissal of 46 on all balls faced (+13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 22% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 309 balls faced.

Sample: 309 balls · medium confidence

Spin: average of 31.6, 8.9 above their average of 22.7 on all balls faced (+39%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 24% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 326 balls faced.

Sample: 326 balls · medium confidence

New Zealand: average of 53.0, 30.3 above their average of 22.7 on all balls faced (+133%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 4% of comparable players (their median change: -0%) — 220 balls faced.

Sample: 220 balls · low confidence

Slow left-arm orthodox: average of 40.5, 17.8 above their average of 22.7 on all balls faced (+78%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 19% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 197 balls faced.

Sample: 197 balls · low confidence