Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

W O'Rourke, Men's Test

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Bowling to them: where to attack

Old ball (21-80): strike rate of 7.7, 6.8 below their strike rate of 14.4 on all balls faced (-47%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 156 balls faced.
Sample: 156 balls · low confidence
Old ball (21-80): average of 3.0, 1.2 below their average of 4.2 on all balls faced (-29%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 17% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 156 balls faced.
Sample: 156 balls · low confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

No batting strength clears the thresholds in this format.

Batting against them: where they leak

Right-handed batters: economy of 3.77, 0.25 above their economy of 3.53 on all balls bowled (+7%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 11% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 1236 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,236 balls · high confidence
Right-handed batters: average of 28.8, 4.2 above their average of 24.6 on all balls bowled (+17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 14% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 1236 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,236 balls · high confidence
Old ball (21-80): strike rate of 52.1, 10.3 above their strike rate of 41.8 on all balls bowled (+25%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 15% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 1094 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,094 balls · high confidence
At home: average of 27.6, 3.0 above their average of 24.6 on all balls bowled (+12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 23% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 873 balls bowled.
Sample: 873 balls · high confidence
England: average of 32.2, 7.6 above their average of 24.6 on all balls bowled (+31%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 25% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 956 balls bowled.
Sample: 956 balls · high confidence
Second new ball (81+): economy of 4.12, 0.59 above their economy of 3.53 on all balls bowled (+17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 22% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 274 balls bowled.
Sample: 274 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they are strongest

Left-handed batters: economy of 3.22, 0.31 below their economy of 3.53 on all balls bowled (-9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 17% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 793 balls bowled.
Sample: 793 balls · high confidence
Left-handed batters: average of 20.2, 4.3 below their average of 24.6 on all balls bowled (-18%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 18% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 793 balls bowled.
Sample: 793 balls · high confidence
Away from home: average of 22.3, 2.3 below their average of 24.6 on all balls bowled (-9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 20% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 1174 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,174 balls · high confidence
New ball (1-20): strike rate of 37.7, 4.1 below their strike rate of 41.8 on all balls bowled (-10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 21% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 679 balls bowled.
Sample: 679 balls · medium confidence

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	138	18	5	3.60	13.04	92.8%	2.2%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Old ball (21-80)	156	12	4	3.00	7.69	92.3%	0.0%
Second new ball (81+)	101	26	4	6.50	25.74	91.1%	5.0%

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	1,236	777	27	28.78	3.77	45.8	71.4%	9.2%
Left-handed batters	793	425	21	20.24	3.22	37.8	76.3%	7.8%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Old ball (21-80)	1,094	628	21	29.90	3.44	52.1	72.1%	7.5%
New ball (1-20)	679	387	18	21.50	3.42	37.7	76.7%	10.0%
Second new ball (81+)	274	188	10	18.80	4.12	27.4	70.8%	9.5%