Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

Yasir Shah, Men's Test

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Bowling to them: where to attack

Second new ball (81+): average of 10.4, 3.9 below their average of 14.3 on all balls faced (-27%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 4% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 750 balls faced.
Sample: 750 balls · high confidence
Pace: average of 11.0, 3.3 below their average of 14.3 on all balls faced (-23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 9% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 1013 balls faced.
Sample: 1,013 balls · high confidence
Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 25, 6 below their balls per dismissal of 30 on all balls faced (-18%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 18% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 624 balls faced.
Sample: 624 balls · high confidence
United Arab Emirates: average of 9.8, 4.5 below their average of 14.3 on all balls faced (-32%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 20% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 454 balls faced.
Sample: 454 balls · high confidence
Right-arm fast-medium: average of 11.8, 2.5 below their average of 14.3 on all balls faced (-18%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 29% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 605 balls faced.
Sample: 605 balls · high confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

Australia: average of 27.9, 13.5 above their average of 14.3 on all balls faced (+94%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 2% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 582 balls faced.
Sample: 582 balls · high confidence
Australia: average of 22.2, 7.9 above their average of 14.3 on all balls faced (+55%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 4% of comparable players (their median change: -9%) — 660 balls faced.
Sample: 660 balls · high confidence
Spin: average of 22.8, 8.4 above their average of 14.3 on all balls faced (+59%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 9% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 938 balls faced.
Sample: 938 balls · high confidence
Old ball (21-80): average of 18.3, 4.0 above their average of 14.3 on all balls faced (+28%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 11% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 1131 balls faced.
Sample: 1,131 balls · high confidence
Once set (40+ balls): balls per dismissal of 39, 9 above their balls per dismissal of 30 on all balls faced (+29%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 19% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 472 balls faced.
Sample: 472 balls · high confidence
Right-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 50.7, 3.7 above their strike rate of 47.1 on all balls faced (+8%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 21% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 605 balls faced.
Sample: 605 balls · high confidence

Batting against them: where they leak

Australia: average of 89.5, 58.1 above their average of 31.4 on all balls bowled (+185%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 3% of comparable players (their median change: +14%) — 1373 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,373 balls · high confidence
Australia: average of 49.3, 18.0 above their average of 31.4 on all balls bowled (+57%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 13% of comparable players (their median change: +12%) — 2513 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,513 balls · high confidence
Old ball (21-80): strike rate of 69.6, 11.2 above their strike rate of 58.4 on all balls bowled (+19%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 16% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 9399 balls bowled.
Sample: 9,399 balls · high confidence
Left-handed batters: economy of 3.50, 0.28 above their economy of 3.22 on all balls bowled (+9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 17% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 5043 balls bowled.
Sample: 5,043 balls · high confidence
At home: average of 36.5, 5.1 above their average of 31.4 on all balls bowled (+16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 19% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 978 balls bowled.
Sample: 978 balls · high confidence
Bangladesh: average of 34.4, 3.0 above their average of 31.4 on all balls bowled (+9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 25% of comparable players (their median change: -12%) — 803 balls bowled.
Sample: 803 balls · high confidence
South Africa: average of 40.7, 9.3 above their average of 31.4 on all balls bowled (+30%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 28% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 740 balls bowled.
Sample: 740 balls · high confidence

Batting against them: where they are strongest

Second new ball (81+): strike rate of 42.0, 16.4 below their strike rate of 58.4 on all balls bowled (-28%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 9% of comparable players (their median change: -11%) — 3068 balls bowled.
Sample: 3,068 balls · high confidence
United Arab Emirates: average of 24.6, 6.8 below their average of 31.4 on all balls bowled (-22%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 10% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 5943 balls bowled.

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	605	307	26	11.81	50.74	73.7%	6.4%
Off break	428	181	7	25.86	42.29	76.4%	4.9%
Slow left-arm orthodox	337	121	8	15.13	35.91	83.1%	4.5%
Right-arm fast	208	132	9	14.67	63.46	67.8%	8.7%
Leg break	171	106	3	35.33	61.99	69.0%	7.6%
Left-arm fast	126	51	5	10.20	40.48	76.2%	4.8%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Old ball (21-80)	1,131	531	29	18.31

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	9,212	4,713	153	30.80	3.07	60.2	72.9%	5.8%
Left-handed batters	5,043	2,944	91	32.35	3.50	55.4	66.3%	6.3%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Old ball (21-80)	9,399	5,039	135	37.33	3.22	69.6	71.2%	6.2%
Second new ball (81+)	3,068	1,669	73	22.86	3.26	42.0	69.3%	5.6%
New ball (1-20)	1,788	949	36	26.36	3.18	49.7	69.2%	5.4%